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IN THE VERY SAME WEEK THAT
THE
UP!S DIRECT MAIL CIRCULATION
PASSES THE 12,000 MARK
COMES THE BIGGEST POLITICAL TRUTH
WE HAVE EVER UNCOVERED. 
WHEW!!


* * * * * ** * * * ASTRAL ENERGY ANALYSIS FOR WEEK OF JAN 7-13 * * * * * * * * *
NEW YEAR, NEW BEGINNINGS
Start projects now.
Mars and Mercury are in top form to initiate new endeavors.
Many planets begin new cycles this week,
some with consequences up to four years.
Food, labor, security, and
energy are major issues.
For details, see Maya’s Daily Success Guide at
www.daykeeperjournal.com
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ** * * *
UP!  Approach love and cooking with reckless abandon.


HAVE U VISITED OUR DEBATING BOARD'S REINCARNATION YET?  IT'S TAKING OFF!


        \)))))((/
-__,,,,_{ô¿ô}_,,,,__ fraser
somebody called me a “truth digger
and I think I’ve
, FINALLY, dug down to
the
BIGGEST POLITICAL TRUTH
it
DWARVES all other issues
while explaining most of them!
for the new year, I’d been planning on giving all the badnews scenarios a rest and concentrating on the positive things that are happening and can happen. 
but instead I’ve come face to face with the
BIGGEST & MOST CERTAIN DOOMSDAY SCENARIO SECRET there is.  our ‘leader elite’ have known about it for at least a decade.  they have made their own personal preparations, of this you can be certain.

A FRIENDLY WARNING TO BELOVED UP! READERS
AT FIRST READ, THIS CAN SEEM TOO MUCH TO TAKE IN.  OR FACE UP TO.
(BUT THE FACTS ARE PRETTY UNDENIABLE, AND I’VE CHECKED THEM WIDELY)
AFTER A WHILE, YOUR BRAIN STARTS TO MAKE ALL THE CONNECTIONS.
THEN YOUR SOUL GETS DEEPLY TROUBLED, THERE’S NO OTHER WAY TO PUT IT.
NOW IT’S EASY TO LOSE ALL FAITH, IT’S A
VERY DANGEROUS MOMENT.
and finally (which the article below only touches upon) you may find (as I did)
 that, deep deep deep down in your soul, some Being recognises
that THIS is what it’s been sensing all along. 
this is PROBABLY the
Smallest Disaster that can save us as a species!!
far better than nuclear or biological armageddon.
and far better than an endless religious war.
but, clearly, nothing LESS could change our present
Fall From Grace at this point.

so take a deeeep breath, and consider….


what kind of life can there be
AFTER THE
OIL CRASH?!
CIVILISATION AS WE KNOW IT IS COMING TO AN END SOON
“The situation is desperate. It’s the world's biggest serious question."
Matthew Simmons, George W. Bush's Energy Adviser

IF YOU’RE LIKE 99% OF THE POPULATION, YOU’VE NEVER HEARD THE TERM "PEAK OIL".   I HAD’T HEARD IT UNTIL A FEW MONTHS AGO.   SINCE THEN, HOWEVER, MY WORLDVIEW AND BASIC ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT MY OWN INDIVIDUAL FUTURE HAVE BEEN TURNED UPSIDE DOWN. 
WHETHER YOUR'E 25 OR 75, A LAWYER OR AN AUTO MECHANIC, WHAT YOU ARE ABOUT TO READ WILL SHAKE THE FOUNDATIONS OF YOUR LIFE.
EVERYTHING HAS COME FROM THE EXTREMELY THOROUGH ARTICLES AND INTERVIEWS LINKED TO ON THE SITE BELOW.

What is "Peak Oil"?
All oil production follows a bell curve, whether in an individual field or on the planet as a whole.  On the upslope of the curve production costs are significantly lower than on the downslope when extra effort (expense) is required to extract oil from reservoirs that are emptying out.

For the past 150 years, we have been moving up the upslope of the global oil production curve.  "
Peak Oil" is the industry term for the top of the curve.  The peak will last for a year or so, at which time we will go down the very steep downslope. The further we go down the slope, the more it costs to produce oil, and its cousin, natural gas.

When will Peak Oil occur?
The most wildly optimistic estimates indicate 2020 will be the year in which worldwide oil production peaks.  Generally, these estimates come from the government.

A more realistic estimate is between 2004-10.  Unfortunately, we won't know that we hit the peak until 3-4 years after we actually hit it.  Even on the upslope of the curve, oil production varies a bit from year to year.  It’s possible that the year 2000 was the year of peak oil production, as production has dipped every year since. 

The energy industry has quietly acknowledged the seriousness of the situation.  For instance in an article entitled “
A Revolutionary Transformation,” the president of Exxon Mobil Exploration Company, Jon Thompson stated: "By 2015, we will need to find, develop and produce a volume of new oil and gas that is equal to eight out of every 10 barrels being produced today".

That sounds pretty bad, but, even if gas prices get high, we could probably still make ends meet, right?   Why should we be concerned?

Because almost every current human endeavour, from
transportation, to manufacturing, to electricity to plastics, and especially food production is inextricably intertwined with oil and natural gas supplies.

Commercial food production is oil powered.  All
pesticides are petroleum based, and all commercial fertilisers are ammonia based.  Ammonia is produced from natural gas.

Oil based agriculture has been fantastic for food production.  Oil allowed for farming implements such as tractors and food storage and transport systems such as refrigerators and trucks.  As oil production went up, so did food production.  As food production went up, so did the birth rate.  As the birth rate went up, the demand for food went up, which increased the demand for oil.

Unfortunately, we are at a point where the demand for food/oil has been rising exponentially, and is expected to continue to do so.  Oil (food) production, however, is about to drop dramatically

When
Peak Oil occurs, food production will plummet because of the cost of fertiliser will soar.  The cost of storing (electricity) and transporting (gasoline) what little food that is produced will also soar.   Unless you grow all your own food on your own local, self sustained farm, you will have to deal with the food shortage.

Oil is also required for nearly every consumer item,
water supply pumping, sewage disposal, garbage disposal, street/park maintenance, hospitals & health systems, police, fire services, and national defence.

Thus, the aftermath of
Peak Oil will extend far beyond how much you will pay for gas.  Simply stated, you can expect: war, starvation, economic recession, possibly even the extinction of homo sapiens

This is known as the post-oil "
die-off".  The term "die-off" captures perfectly the nightmare that’s at our doorstep.  For a humorous portrayal of the die-off, read chapter 3 of Michael Moore's most recent book, "Dude, Where's My Country?"

"Die-Off"!
It’s exactly what it says on the tin.  It’s estimated that the world's population will contract to 500 million during the Oil Crash.  (current world population: 6 billion)

What are my chances of surviving the "
Die-Off"?

If you ignore the warnings, and don't prepare, you have
absolutely no chance of surviving.

If you pay attention, and start preparing, you have
very little chance of surviving.

We all may as well accept were going to die during the crash.  However, if enough of us prepare, then at least a few should make it and humanity will rise once again.

What About Alternatives, Solar, Wind, Hydrogen etc?
Too late, unfortunately.  It would take us a minimum of 50 years to develop a food delivery infrastructure based on alternative energies.  Peak Oil is going to occur within five.   Even if we stopped all wars, and committed ourselves entirely to energy alternatives such as solar, wind, hydrogen etc, the best we can hope for is to soften the fall.

Oil accounts for 40% of our current global energy supply.  There are no alternatives to oil that can supply this much energy, let alone the amount of energy we require to feed a worldwide population that is increasing exponentially. 

Let's briefly examine the commonly proposed oil alternatives:

Natural Gas
Natural Gas currently supplies 20% of global energy supply.   Gas itself will start running out from 2020 on. Demand for natural gas in North America is already outstripping supply, especially as power utilities take the remaining gas to generate electricity. Gas is not suited for existing jet aircraft, ships, vehicles, and equipment for agriculture and other products. Conversion consumes large amounts of energy as well as money. Natural gas also does not provide the huge array of chemical by-products that we depend on oil for.

Hydro-Electric
Hydro-Electric power currently accounts for 2.3% of global energy supply, compared with the 40% provided.  It’s unsuitable for aircraft and the present 800 million existing vehicles.

Solar
Solar power accounts for .006% of global energy supply.  Energy varies constantly with weather or day/night.  Not storable or portable energy like oil or natural gas so unsuited for present vehicles and industry.  Batteries bulky, expensive, wear out in 5-10 years.  Photovoltaic solar equipment (US$4/watt) is about 15% efficient, giving about 100 watts of the 1 kW per square metre exposed to bright sunshine (enough for one light bulb).  A typical solar water panel array can deliver 50-85% of a home’s hot water though.  Using some of our precious remaining crude oil as fuel for manufacturing solar equipment may be wise

Wind
Wind power accounts for .07% of global energy supply.  As with solar, energy varies greatly with weather, and is not portable or storable like oil and gas.

Hydrogen
Hydrogen accounts for 0.01% of global energy.   Hydrogen is currently manufactured from methane gas.  It takes more energy to create it than the hydrogen actually provides.  It’s therefore an energy “carrier” not a source.  Liquid hydrogen occupies four to eleven times the bulk of equivalent gasoline or diesel.  Existing vehicles and aircraft and existing distribution systems are not suited to it.  Solar hydrogen might be an option in some of the hot countries.

Nuclear
Nuclear is currently being abandoned globally). Its ability to soften the oil crash is very problematic due to accidents and terrorism.   Many more reactors would be needed.  Tons of radioactive materials to transport at risk to public.  Nuclear waste disposal is still the major, unresolved problem, especially breeder reactors producing plutonium a nuclear weapon/ terrorist raw material, half-life contamination is 24,000 years.  All abandoned reactors are radioactive for decades or millennia.  Nuclear is not directly suitable for aircraft and vehicles.  Adapting nuclear to make hydrogen or other fuels would be a huge, and energy-expensive project.   Nuclear fusion is still not available, after 40 years’ research and billions of dollars invested.

Is It Possible That We’ve Already Hit Peak Oil and Are Now In the First Stages of the Oil Crash?
Yes.  As stated above, we won't know we’ve hit the Peak until a few years after we hit it.  Global oil production has dipped every year since 2000, so it is quite possible the Peak has passed.

Ample evidence exists that we’re in the first stages of the
Oil Crash.  In 2003, the cost of food rose 16%-25%.   Health care costs rose 15%.   Education costs rose 20%.  These are often excluded from measures of inflation because they’re considered "volatile".

As of 12/03 the "adjusted" unemployment, which has been squeezed out of as much meaning as conceivably possible, still hovers in the 6% range.  However, if you factor in the quality of employment, then the real numbers are closer to 12%-15%.

The
rolling blackouts experienced in California, the massive East Coast blackout of August, and the various other massive blackouts that occurred throughout the world are further indicators that we’re in the first stages of the Oil Crash.

If the year 2000 was the year of
Peak Oil, it means we have very little time to prepare before things completely disintegrate.

Why Haven't I Heard About This On the News?
Here are 3 reasons:
1.  75% of the media (all newspapers, television and radio stations) are owned by 5 companies.   Each of these companies is heavily invested in the energy industry.  If they were to publicly announce the truth about Peak Oil, investment in the stock market would dry up, the economy would plunge, chaos would ensue, and the whole deck of cards would come crashing down before our leaders and corporate elite have a chance to secure their own well-being.
2.  The ramifications of Peak Oil are so serious that it’s hard for anybody, including journalists and politicians, to accept it.
3.  The average American may not be emotionally prepared to deal with Peak Oil.  It’s a literal death sentence to much of our population as well as a figurative death sentence to the energy intensive American Way Of Life.   When faced with such news, most people choose to "kill the messenger."

How Are the Energy Companies Dealing With This?
They’re not.  They can’t.

They’re merging and downsizing and outsourcing and not investing in new refineries because they know full well that production is set to decline and that the exploration opportunities are getting less and less. 

The companies have to sing to the stock market, and merger hides the collapse of the weaker brethren.  The staff is purged on merger and the combined budget ends up much less than the sum of the previous components.  Besides, a lot of the executives and bankers make a lot of money from the merger.   Since their making money off the situation, they are not going to go public with the truth.

Is It Connected With the Iraq & Afghanistan Wars?
George Bush, Dick Cheney, Condi Rice and Donald Rumsfeld are all former executives for large oil companies.  They have known about Peak Oil for decades.

In the context of
Peak Oil, the wars in the Middle East are not wars of greed.  Rather, they are wars for survival

You can expect the U.S. to invade Syria, Iran and Saudi Arabia within the next 2-5 years.  As you watch the news, you can already notice the hints are being dropped.  "Iran has WMD" or "Syria isn't cooperating in the war on terror" or "Saudi Arabia is funding terrorism".  "The war on terror will last for decades."   The stage is being set so that the American public will accept these future invasions.

And when (recently industrialised) China decides it needs the remaining oil as much as the U.S.?

_______________________
World War III


What about other "westernised" countries like France?   Don't they need oil also?
America will likely be invading or attacking France at some point as well.   Several high level officials in the Bush Administration are pushing for a plan to force nations to "choose between Paris and Washington."

War with Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia, China, and France?   Won't that require a reinstitution of the draft?
George Bush recently approved a massive increase for the Selective Service's 2005 budget.  The Selective Service is currently undergoing a massive overhaul and has been told it needs to be ready to report to the president in June, 2005.  This means you can expect a reinstitution of the military draft  some time thereafter.

Essentially, every young man currently between the ages of 12 - 22 has been earmarked as a solider for future oil wars.

I think I'm going to be sick. . .

If we get rid of Bush, will that solve the problem?
Peak Oil’s happening with or without Bush.  In fact, you may have the Bush administration to thank for the couple of extra years of cheap oil he’s robbing from the Middle East.  This gives us in the U.S. some extra time to prepare for the post-peak Oil Crash.

The President, his administration, and most of our legislators have been reduced to ceremonial figureheads for the energy and defence industries.  These industries control both parties.

None of the presidential candidates except Dennis Kucinich have publicly mentioned
Peak Oil even once.

In other words, regardless of who gets elected, we’re on our own.

And, uh, the Patriot Act I, and Patriot Act II?
When food production plummets, the only way to control the population will be through the institution of a fascist style police state.  The passage of the Patriot Acts are the foundation of that state.

What’s the government doing about all this?
It may come as no surprise to you that our leaders are doing more to exasperate the problem then they are to solve it.  They’ve decided to make a last ditch grab for whatever recoverable oil is available.   With control over the world's dwindling supplies of recoverable oil, they’ll have the ability to choose who lives and who dies. 

If you aren't making over $200,000/year, our leaders don't care whether you live or die.  As an example, 70% of our troops from the first Gulf War are now disabled with Gulf War Syndrome.  The Reserve and National Guard troops that are now in Iraq have not been issued side arms or bullet proof vests.  Our lives mean nothing to our leaders.

Furthermore, 40 of America’s  50 Senators are millionaires, with enough money to feed their families even if the price of food doubles, triples or quadruples.  So even though they know about
Peak Oil, its not like they’re going to be doing most of the suffering.

Remember, these are the same people who give us a colour coded chart, a roll of duct tape, and a war of dubious origins as solutions to terrorism.

As stated above, we’re on our own.

Isn't This Just Another Y2K Disaster Scenario?
I wish Peak Oil was "Y2K Reloaded."  
Y2K was an "if", not a "when".  
Unlike Y2K, we know that Peak Oil is going to happen.  The only question is at what point between 2004-2010 will it happen. 
Furthermore, oil is more fundamental to our existence than anything else, even computers.  Had the Y2K predictions come true, our civilisation would have been knocked back to 1965.  With time, we would have recovered.
But when the
Oil Crash comes, our civilisation will be knocked back to 1765.  We won’t recover  there’s no oil left to discover that could help us recover.

Y2K was "announced" in the mid 1990's - a full 5+ years before the problem was due. 
Peak Oil will occur within 1 - 6 years, and we‘ve made no preparations. 
The preparations necessary to deal with the
Oil Crash will require a complete overhaul of every aspect of our civilisation.  This is much more complex than fixing a computer bug.

Over the course of history, the world's biggest disasters have never been "announced" ahead of time.  The
Great Depression, Pearl Harbour, 9-11, all could have been prevented if we’d been paying attention.  Given the fact that the Oil Crash will be worse than all of these combined, it should come as no surprise that our leaders have opted not to warn us.

Unlike past "end of the world" scenarios, such as nuclear war, biological terrorism, and of course Y2K,
Peak Oil is not a question of "if".   Peak Oil is a scientific fact.  The only question is when.

Read through the articles on this site.  Listen to what well respected energy industry folks like
Matthew Simmons, King Hubbert and Colin Campbell have to say.  Listen to what the energy industry is (quietly) talking about.  Look at what they’re doing.  Look at what Sweden is doing to prepare for Peak Oil.  Look at all this in the context of U.S. foreign and domestic policy.   Then decide for yourself if Peak Oil is simply "Y2K Reloaded", "SARS: The Return", "Cuban Missile Crisis II: Judgement Day" or if it’s something we need to deal with head on.


I'm an optimist.  Peak Oil sounds too pessimistic for me to accept as reality.
I felt this way too for while.  Then I realised the difference between an optimist and a fool.

An optimist looks at bleak facts and decides to make the best of the situation they can.   A fool looks at bleak facts and decides to ignore them because they’re too upsetting.. 

If you’re an optimist, you’ll deal with the reality of
Peak Oil in a realistic way that optimises humanity's chance of surviving and building a prosperous post-oil civilisation.  If you’re not willing to deal with Peak Oil in this way, you’re a fool who’ll be dead within 20 years.

I'm having trouble believing that a country as powerful as the United States is going to collapse.
That's what people in Baghdad circa 1979 would have said about Iraq.  It’s also what people in Moscow circa 1960 would have said about the Soviet Union.

We won't be the first superpower to collapse. 
Rome, Sparta, Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union - all superpowers long erased from the map.

Keep in mind that throughout the history of humanity, living in a collapsed society is not uncommon at all.   Even in contemporary times, billions of people are living in collapsed societies such as the former
Soviet Union, Iraq, large portions of India, West Africa, Somalia, Liberia, the West Bank, Gaza Strip. etc. . . 

Oil is the lifeblood of our civilisation.  Without oil, our fate is the same as the hospital patient who loses all of their blood.

Those of us lucky enough to live in the industrialised world are like the cool kids who got invited to the big party.   Unfortunately, the party's over.

How can we best deal with Peak Oil as a society?
Peak Oil is going to happen.   People are going to die.   We cannot stop it.   But we may be able to minimise the amount of suffering while maximising the chances of building a successful post-oil civilisation if we immediately come together as a species and do the following:

1.  Stop all wars and other nonessential economic activity.  Dedicate all our time and resources to developing energy alternatives.
2.   Stop having kids.  We can’t feed our current population.  When the
Oil Crash comes, things will go from bad to worse to nightmarish.  More children means an increased demand for food we can’ produce.
3.   No more pets.  The food’s required to feed people.
4    No more beef eating - cattle raising is extremely energy intensive.
5.   Drastically cut our energy consumption.  This means eating produce grown locally, investing in hybrid cars or substituting bicycles, limiting our purchase of consumer goods to the absolutely necessary, and no air travel unless absolutely necessary.

I'm scared.  How should I prepare as an individual?
Well, first of all, it’s absolutely imperative you don’t succumb to a fear based consciousness.  This may be difficult as Peak Oil is going to necessitate absolutely massive changes in our way of life.   However, if we allow ourselves to be overtaken by fear, we will only exasperate the situation and duplicate the system that has brought us into this situation.

As for steps to take as an individual, when I first asked that question, the answer I got was:
"Step 1:  Imagine the absolute worst apocalyptic nightmare you can think of.  Step 2:  Think of how you would prepare for that situation.  Step 3: Get to work."

Personally, I recommend the first step to be educating yourself about Peak Oil and its ramifications.  Then notify as many of your friends and family as possible.  Seek out like minded people and come up with some type of a plan.

Unfortunately, I know very little at this point regarding how to survive without the amenities of modern civilisation.  As I learn more, I will post what I learn on this website under ‘
Prepare.’

Should I be getting a gun?
Personally, I won't be getting a gun.  My philosophy is why bother extending my stay in hotel earth for a bit longer if I have to contribute more violence to an already violent place?

However, if I was a woman, I'd definitely be getting a gun.

If
Peak Oil is too much for you to worry about, feel free to ignore the facts and stick your head in the sand.  But remember, when you stick your head in the sand, you leave your ass exposed for the world to kick.

Is there anything positive about Peak Oil?
Its hard to say that there’s a "bright side" to Peak Oil, but here goes:

Most of us in consumer based countries like the U.S. are actually very nice people.  In our hearts, we really do believe in ideals such as equality, brotherhood, and justice.  We would never abuse, mistreat, or kill somebody just to get something of theirs.  However,
to support our oil based lifestyle, our government goes out and does these things for us.

If the average American knew the amount of suffering that went into producing every piece of plastic in their home, every gallon of oil in their gas tank, and every piece of food on their dinner table, they’d likely be sick to their stomach and be willing to do whatever it takes to change things. 

Peak Oil will force us to change things.  Peak Oil does mean the end of the world as we know it.  It also means we have a chance to create a new world in which humanity lives in harmony with itself and the earth.   Such a lifestyle is no longer simply "the right thing to do".  It’s now a necessity if we wish to survive as a species.

Evolution and biology?
In every species, the "over adapted" members tend to die off and be replaced by simpler versions.  In the case of humanity, hyper-industrialised western societies will become extinct, while simpler, more peaceful ones will continue, and a very few will scarcely falter. 

Peak Oil may be nature's way of turning man’s traditional conception of "survival of the fittest" on its head.  Traditionally, we’ve defined evolutionary-social fitness by looking at things like cunning, military strength, ability to dominate etc.   But the societies that survive the Oil Crash will be those that define fitness by looking at more benevolent traits, not the least of which is the ability to control what your leaders do with your taxes.

I was born in America, grew up here, and have no desire to go anywhere else.  While I love it here, I also recognise that America has done some pretty atrocious things.   Regardless of your political outlook, the unfortunate truth is we used forced labour to build our nation on stolen land.  (So did other consumer based, oil driven nations, and they’ll be crashing too).

More recently, the U.S. dropped so much depleted uranium on Iraq during the 1991 Gulf War that birth defects in Iraqi babies increased by 500% in the next 12 years.  The radiation was so bad that 67% of American Gulf War veterans ended up having babies with serious birth defects as well.   In 2003, we dropped so much depleted uranium on Baghdad that radiation levels rose to 2,000 times the normal.  Depleted Uranium has a half life of 4.5 billion years.  Essentially,
we have eliminated the Iraqi population (and many our of own troops) from the Future Healthy Human Gene Pool.

It's almost like Peak Oil is nature's way of saying, "If you’re so heartless, spineless or brainless as to not prevent your leaders from committing horrible atrocities in the pursuit of resources, then you are not fit to survive."
Matthew David Savinar
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/
UP! Remember that not getting what you want is sometimes a wonderful stroke of luck.
VVV

NET ENERGY
It takes energy to make energy.  We use energy to find and pump oil but, luckily for industrial society, oil has huge net energy and we can usually obtain more than 200 times the amount of energy required for its’ extraction.  Oil has the highest net energy return of any fuel; gas, coal, wind and solar all have dramatically less.  Hydrogen has negative net energy meaning it takes more energy to produce it than it contains, this highlights the first problem of a hydrogen society.
http://evworld.com/view.cfm?section=article&storyid=550
UP! Share your knowledge. It's a way to achieve immortality.
VVV

THIS HAS CHANGED ME FROM OPTIMIST/ACTIVIST INTO HOLLOW SHELL
Fraser, this is all exactly right. It is the most pressing issue of our time, and between the realisation of this and climate change it has eclipsed all other issues for me. I no longer do any activism on the more trivial issues because I simply haven't the heart - in the face of the oil crash and climate change there is no point in most of the social change efforts 'our' people are engaged in.

There is no sensible reason for a government to trash its popularity with wars for 'empire building' when empires are unpopular with the voters.  Everyone knows it wasn't about WMDs, but nobody's asked the obvious follow-on - what WAS it about then?

It was about oil, because the way the western people feel about the war is nothing compared to how they'll feel about a government that denies them oil.  SOMEONE has to go without.  Obviously we'd prefer it to be China and India rather than us, so we're getting the Iraqi oil for ourselves.

Frankly, given that it is to late to change our society from its reliance on oil before the crash, I'm driven to some uncomfortable conclusions.
* Basically, we should drill all the available oil ASAP.  Alaska should be drilled NOW. Why?  Because, if it's done now, then some environmental concerns will carry weight, but in 10 or 20 years time Bush's successor will be saying 'there's people freezing to death in their homes in NY and Chicago! I don't give a damn about marmots and trees!'.  And the voters will support them!  The environmental lobby is at the peak of its influence.  In ten years time nobody will care.
*  The huge population boom is based on oil wealth and oil food production. Modern farming is simply a way to make oil into food.  When the crash comes we need as few people as possible
competing for the resources.  As the human population increases by 2 million a week, if we're going to have the crash we need it sooner rather than later.

While the crash will surely hit us, the full double whammy of it and climate change will hit later in this century.  And it will be worse for westerners.  As when the Maya died out, it was the urban folks that suffered; the farmers survived.  Westerners are the equivalent of the mayan urban population; we all depend on that which is about to disappear.

And there's nothing we can do.  It's like being on a bus going to the edge of a cliff at 70mph - we see the edge, but there's not enough time to stop before we go over.  All we can do is brace ourselves.

This knowledge has changed me from active optimist/optimistic activist into a hollow shell.
{a young brit activist who wishes his name to be witheld]
SEE:
'Bottom of The Barrel' by George Monbiot
http://www.monbiot.com/dsp_article.cfm?article_id=625
>> well, us old beat/hippy/zippies don’t find it SO disheartening, for decades now, almost ALL our adult lives, we’ve been predicting it, waiting for it, (maybe sometimes even LONGING for it:), lowering our consumption level, practising cooperative lifestyles among the rave masses, and laffing slightly at 'smart' middleclass activists who thought it was just about prettifying the system while getting a good income off it :) so DON'T DESPAIR! it looks WORST from the centre of the west!
but I gotta STRONG feeling this is gonna be a GIGANTIC debate in the next few
UP!s so we’ll come back to this for sure.

NOW, PLEEEASE. READ MY INTRO AGAIN
UP!  When you lose, don't lose the lesson.


“When you give food to the poor, they call you a saint.  When you ask why the poor have no food, they call you a communist.”  Archbishop Helder Camara, Brazilian liberation theologist.
UP!  Follow the three R's: Respect for self, and  for others, and responsibility for all your actions.

 (\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)
the
UP! //:-) 180  jan 9,   2004
la- la- la- lap-toppling da system!                     
(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)(\o/)
it's the fractals within the interconnections, that's where it's happening!


contents
p.11    Who izzit the whole world’s indebted to? - Every nation is in debt  to whom?!
p.12    WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEACE ON EARTH? Willie Nelson’s new song
p.14
    !!IRAQGAIT!!  0NE + !!IRAQGAIT!!  TWO   
p.15    !!IRAQGAIT!!  THREE
p.16    CHUTZPAH //FEEDBACK
p.17    Counter-Productive And Fostering Hatred Of Israel”…
p.18    ARE SCOTS TAKING OVER THE WORLD?!   R U ANTI-SCOTIC?!
p.20    REASONS TO BE THANKFUL PART 2003
p.21    Pre-emptive Manhunting!!
        - The CIA'S new assassination program
UP!


EARTHLIKE PLANETS PROBABLY COMMON IN THE UNIVERSE
ONE TENTH OF STARS MAY SUPPORT
LIFE
According to a new analysis by Australian researchers, fully a tenth of the stars in our galaxy might provide the right conditions to support complex life.
Meanwhile, in 44 computer simulations of planet formation near a sun, astronomers found that each simulation produced one to four Earth like planets, including 11 "habitable" planets about the same distance from their stars as Earth is from our sun.
And most of these stars are on average
one billion years older than the Sun, allowing much more time, in theory, for any life to have evolved beyond the Bush Dinosaur stage.
[NewScientist.com news service]
UP!  Spend some time alone every day.


Meanwhile, Back on Earth,
Who izzit
the whole world’s indebted to?
Every country in the world suffers from a massive, constantly increasing national debt , but to whom do they owe it?!

Britain has a national debt fast approaching £400 billion.
Canada's debt has reached $560 billion.
Germany's now exceeds 500 billion deutschmarks

ARE THESE POOR COUNTRIES?

No more than
Japan with a debt equivalent to two trillion dollars or
America with a national debt now in excess of five trillion dollars.

Since the poorer nations are crippled by their indebtedness to international lending institutions and foreign banks, the overall picture is of a world suffering acute and ever worsening insolvency.

But this is really quite illogical and absurd... The question almost asks itself...
If all the nations of the world are in debt, who are they in debt to? Rationally, where there is a debtor, there should be someone else who is a creditor. 
If every nation is in debt, who, precisely, owes whom? 

In addition to the logical absurdity of
all nations being simultaneously insolvent, such escalating national debts are a complete contradiction of the real and obvious wealth of these nations.

This is further underlined by the fact that the nations which run the largest national debts are those with the most advanced economies.  What can we say to the developing nations struggling under the burden of their debt, nations who have copied our economic institutions and aspire to a life free from poverty? 
'Work hard, and one day your debt will be as small as America's - a mere five trillion dollars!'
Michael Rowbotham
http://www.cfoss.com/grip.html
UP!  Judge your success by what you had to give up in order to get it.
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The UP! (UP!mag or UP!grademag) is a global edutainment round-up, ‘broadcast’ weekly to =[12,002]= Alternative// Activist// Zippy// Trance// New Age folks who have been recommended to the Parallel YOUniversity//Megatripolis Dance Dept as "showing signs of life".  Since many recipients choose to forward it or parts of it to their own lists, we conservatively estimate 30,000+ direct recipients.  Further, because of its 'mix' of 'specialist' & 'general' content, it's increasingly being posted on a variety of sites worldwide, making an estimated total weekly ‘readership’ of =[275,000+]=
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WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO PEACE ON EARTH?
Willie Nelson wrote a new song on ‘Christmas’.  He performed it in public for the first time on Jan. 3, 2004 when he led a fundraising concert for Dennis Kucinich's presidential campaign.
BUT (AS HE SAYS) DON’T EXPECT TO HEAR IT SOON!

There's so many things going on in the world
Babies dying    Mothers crying
How much oil is one human life worth
And what ever happened to peace on earth?

We believe everything that they tell us
They're gonna' kill us
So we gotta' kill them first
But I remember a commandment
Thou shall not kill
How much is that soldier's life worth
And whatever happened to peace on earth?

(Bridge)
And the bewildered herd is still believing
Everything we've been told from our birth
Hell they won't lie to me       Not on my own damn TV
But how much is a liar's word worth
And whatever happened to peace on earth?

So I guess it's just
Do unto others before they do it to you
Let's just kill em' all and let God sort em' out
Is this what God wants us to do?

(Bridge)
And the bewildered herd is still believing
Everything we've been told from our birth
Hell they won't lie to me       Not on my own damn TV
But how much is a liar's word worth
And whatever happened to peace on earth?

Now you probably won't hear this on your radio
Probably not on your local TV
But if there's a time, and if you're ever so inclined
You can always hear it from me
How much is one picker's word worth
And whatever happened to peace on earth?

But don't confuse caring for weakness
You can't put that label on me
The truth is my weapon of mass protection
And I believe truth sets you free

(Bridge)
And the bewildered herd is still believing
Everything we've been told from our birth
Hell they won't lie to me       Not on my own damn TV
But how much is a liar's word worth
And whatever happened to peace on earth?
UP!  When you realise you've made a mistake, take immediate steps to correct it.

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TEXT JOCKEY //  TJ PHRASER (Fraser Clark) & THE MEDIA EVOLUTION 
MIXING THE TRACTS LIVE ON THE KEYBOARD @ A MEDIA-MEME RATE OF 160 IPP * 
* Ideas Per Paragraph
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SAME OLD BULLSHIT
THE
CHANGE IS THAT MORE PEOPLE
ARE SEEING THROUGH IT!!
Lyndon B. Johnson, 1966
“If we don't stop the Reds in South Vietnam,
George W. Bush, 2003: “Our military is confronting terrorists in Iraq
tomorrow they will be in Hawaii,
and Afghanistan and in other places so our people will not have to
and next week they will be in San Francisco.“
confront terrorist violence in New York or St. Louis or Los Angeles. “
UP!  When the water is muddy, the best action is to do nothing.


HOW MI6 SOLD THE IRAQATTACK  the uk government yesterday confirmed that MI6 organised a campaign to plant stories in the media about Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction.  It was called (get this!) Operation Mass Appeal.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article5433.htm

SCOTT RITTER PROVED RIGHT!
"I was approached by MI6 to provide that data, I met with the Mass Appeal operatives both in New York and London on several occasions. This data was provided, and it did find its way into the international media.”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3227506.stm
UP!  Once a year, go somewhere new. [if you’re american, this means OUTSIDE america!]


German Intelligence: CIA Planted Fake Terror Alert
According to information provided to TV 2 Nettavisen by German intelligence, they are convinced that the CIA information is wrong, and they seemingly fear that American authorities planted the information.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article5483.htm
>> surprised?  then u haven't been paying attention.
UP! 


!!IRAQGAIT!!  0NE
“THE WORST THING TO BE ACCUSED OF HERE IS NOT COOPERATING WITH THE INVESTIGATION”
by John F. Dickerson AND Viveca Novak / Time Magazine
FBI investigators looking into the criminal leak of a CIA agent’s identity have asked Bush Administration officials, including Karl Rove, Bush’s Alisteir Campbell, to release reporters from any confidentiality agreements regarding conversations about the agent.

If signed, the requests would give investigators new ammunition for questioning reporters who have so far not disclosed the names of administration officials who divulged that Valerie Plame, wife of former ambassador Joe Wilson, worked for the
CIA.

While irregular, the move is not unprecedented.  Various officials were told from the start that such a request might be made.  The FBI has already extensively re-interviewed some White House officials using emails and phone logs from their search to press for the identity of the leaker.  “
They are taking this very seriously,” says one close to the case.

Lucy Dalglish, executive director of the Reporters' Committee for Freedom of the Press, says asking possible suspects to sign such a document is unusual, though not unheard of: "
From the prosecutors' point of view, it is likely a precursor to subpoenaing journalists to testify before a grand jury, and then asking a judge to hold them in contempt if they refuse to do so".

It's plain that White House officials are under some pressure to sign the documents.  "
They can't refuse. The worst thing to be accused of here is not cooperating with the investigationsaid one individual who's familiar with the case.

But reporters are not likely to feel the same pressure.  Journalists rarely divulge confidential sources even when threatened with contempt citations so the releases may make little difference.  Still, in a post-9/11 world, a case involving the disclosure of a covert agent's identity could be taken
very seriously by a judge, who would have the power to jail a member of the press for refusing to cooperate with a grand jury.
UP!  Silence is sometimes the best answer.
VVV

!!IRAQGAIT!!  TWO
EXPECT MAJOR REVELATIONS
Does Condi fear appearing at the 9/11 Commission?
by Timothy J. Burger / Time Magazine
National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice is apparently not keen on going under oath for the Kean 9/11 commission.
    
Poised to convene its first hard-hitting hearings this month, the federal commission investigating the 9/11 attacks continues to be at odds with the White House over access to key information and witnesses.  Two government sources told TIME that National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice is arguing over ground rules for her appearance, in part because she does not want to testify
under oath or, according to one source, in public.

While national security advisers, as presidential staff, generally don’t have to appear before Congress, the commission argues that its jurisdiction is broader - and it's been requiring fact witnesses in its massive investigation to testify under oath. 

The exception: it may not seek to swear in President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Bill Clinton or Al Gore in the increasingly likely event they will be asked to speak to the commission.  "
I think that it is in their interest to meet with us,"  says GOP commission member John Lehman, but they should be invited, not subpoenaed, and be allowed to appear behind closed doors.

With such high-profile testimony in the offing, it’s no wonder the commission chairman, Republican Tom Kean, was telling reporters last week to expect
major revelations.

He also suggested the
9/11 attacks might have been prevented if mid-level government officials at various government agencies had done their jobs.  As for senior officials like Rice or her predecessor, and their bosses, the commission was still studying whether they share the blame.  Rice could face tough questioning.  One Republican commissioner says a comment by Rice last year - that no one “could have predicted that they would try to use a… hijacked airplane as a missile” - was "an unfortunate comment . . . that was, of course, a wrong-footed statement on its face," given that there were years of intelligence about Al Qaeda's interest in airplane attacks.
UP!
VVV

!!IRAQGAIT!!  THREE
KELLY BATTLE GLOVES OFF
Britain's Ministry of Defence has ordered lawyers to fight dirty against the widow of Dr David Kelly in any battle for compensation for her husband's death.

The extraordinary tactics to be used should she seek damages from the Government involve teams of top lawyers
arguing the scientist was unstable for two years before he took his life.

The decision to blacken Dr Kelly's reputation will shock his family as they prepare for the Hutton Inquiry's findings into the circumstances that led to his suicide last summer.
http://www.theadvertiser.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5936,8321240%255E912,00.html
UP!  In the best relationship your love for each other exceeds your need for each other.


BEWARE CHILDREN, WELSHMEN & OLD CHINESE LADIES!!!!!
STRESSED, BOOZE-FUELLED COCK-UPS AT OUR AIRPORTS?
The Wall Street Journal reports that the cancellation of the Air France flights on Christmas Eve was the result of US officials wrongly identifying passengers as possible terrorist suspects.
        French officials said one passenger whose name matched that on an "
alert" list turned out to be a child; another turned out to be a Welsh insurance agent; and a third was an elderly Chinese woman.
        In an embarrassing development for the US authorities, Charles Brady, the head of the transport security administration at Dulles airport, was arrested for drink driving on New Year's Eve, shortly after passengers on BA 223 had been released from questioning.  He was meant to have stayed at his post at Dulles until 2am.  Police said he was stopped at 1am.
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/story.jsp?story=477644
>> a brief glimpse behind the screens into what’s gotta be a brutal, panicked, paranoid mess.  and it looks to me at least that you can practically bring the west to a halt with a few well placed bomm alerts or by penning a few emails on the net to be picked up by the EES (evil empire in the sky)
oh what a tangled web we weave when first we practise to deceive!
UP!  A loving atmosphere in your home is the foundation for your life.

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TOP TEN SCIENCE STORIES OF 2003
New Scientist.com’s most popular stories during 2003 include:
the first speed of
gravity measurement
packet tracking for ultrafast
Internet
the world's first brain prosthesis
James Watson's statement that
stupidity is a genetic disease that should be cured.
NewScientist.com Jan. 1, 2004
>> I gotta dollar here towards the presidential fund.
UP!


hey fraser!
thank you for including the list of big money corporations that continue to unnecessarily test on animals (i culled it mostly from a PETA shopping guide).
boycotting the products of companies that torture animals might sound challenging to some, but cruelty-free product sites like
www.veganstore.com can give consumers some very reasonable + affordable pointers on what to buy, even for items like razors and contact lens solutions.  buying cruelty-free is much easier than you'd think!
wouldn't it be amazing if someday westernised humans were able to respect the spirits and rights of animals?  let's push for it with even more resolve in 2004!
as always, you are righteous.
love,
amanda nowinsky / new york
UP!


Hello Fraser,
Best Wishes and Thank-you.
I can’t imagine what I would be like without The Encyclopaedia Psychedelica and all its descendant phenomena.
Mark / Brighton.
UP!


CHUTZPAH / FEEDBACK
felicitations and thanks....
never cease to amaze... loved it all and barely read it yet, with curdling eyes.
nice to see the discourse getting rabid... the PC game is obscene; if we have a problem, lets not talk about it, or use coded language... talk about collective psychological repression...

the daft notion that ANY group has some special claim to victim status (cos victimisation is the popular hierarchy of rightness) should just draw laughter, but instead gets parroted. no fuckers get it easy in this life.
remember guy met, and when pulled radiator off wall and wrecked gaff generally then stormed out, compatriot says 'well, he's got issues'
instant rejoinder from across the table 'we ALL got issues'

once you make a living selling victim t-shirts, you ain't no victim.
turns into a flag of convenience. i mean, i could say i'm irish, i bin repressed by the vestiges of colonialism in my country, and use as a pretext.
or that my anglo grandpappy was wacked by bloodthirsty nationalist revolutionaries...but i'll quit singing hoarsely to a well tuned choir, pluribus in unum...

not sure if it all riled enough, but further in the hermeneutics of semitic whatnot...

darwin joke,
not saying buy and eat dawkins shit, but if look at jews as breeding population, rabbi is guy who can read, count, do his kabbalah. and rabbis are a good catch socially.
compare catholicism, where if can read and write, get priest role. priest meant be celibate. obviously this not work, but less breeding probably.
so in one tribal genepool you are selecting for aptitudes, cleverness, g, call it what you like, whereas in crazy primate tribe B you are culling the fucking herd of any intelligence.

sheeple. sheep. cull. stupid.
xtians? shepherds and sheep? evident connections?
hey, i know its a crap reduction, and cheap, but boy does it rile peeps up, especially because so many people buy darwin/dawkins stuff, but then get brainlock following thru... cos makes SimpleSense... easy in but not so easy out, like the lobster in the lobster pot...

but hey, i been wondering how they so clued in for years, and it the best i could come up with.

keep stirring and poking... it’s no fun unless there’s wincing; does no good neither...

felicitations and thanks....
tstewart / dublin
>> I PROMISED TO REPORT HOW MANY VIRUSES I GOT AFTER THE 'JEWISH' DEBATE LAST WEEK.  AM GLAD AND PROUD TO REPORT THAT NOT A SINGLE VIRUS HAS BEEN RECEIVED!!  WELL DONE, JEWISH PEEPS!!  :D
UP!  Don't let a little dispute injure a great friendship.


COUNTER-PRODUCTIVE AND FOSTERING HATRED OF ISRAEL…
Lt-Col Eitan Ronel, a veteran of 1973's Yom Kippur War, the invasion of Lebanon, and the first Palestinian Intifada, has resigned in protest at his army's "immoral conduct" in the occupied territories. 

His resignation came even as five teenage conscripts were yesterday sentenced to a year in prison each for refusing to serve in the Israeli army "
as long as it acts as an army of occupation".  Scores of reservists have refused to report for duty for similar reasons, and many of them have been sentenced to prison terms, but Lt-Col Ronel, 51, is believed to be the first Israeli officer to resign his commission in protest.

In his letter to the chief of staff, wrote that, for him, the final straw had been when Israeli soldiers opened fire last week on unarmed protestors demonstrating against the "
separation fence" Israel is building in the West Bank.  Among the injured was an Israeli civilian, Gil Naamati, whose case provoked a storm of controversy in Israel.

In a searing open letter to the army's chief of staff, Lt-Col Ronel wrote:

"A country in which the army disperses demonstrations of its citizens with live gunfire is not a democratic country.  An army that educates its soldiers that such a crime is conceivable has lost all its borders.
>> chutzpah?

"I saw this deterioration, stage after stage: the blind eye that was turned to the abuse of detainees in violation of the army's orders; the blind eye turned to soldiers' gunfire on unarmed Palestinian civilians; the blind eye to the settlers' unlawful behaviour towards Palestinian civilians; the oppression of the population; the roadblocks; the curfew; the closure; the blind eye the army turned towards humiliation and abuse; the searches and arrests; the use of live fire against children and unarmed people."

"Stage by stage, the value of human life has diminished.  Step after step, the values on which we were raised - the purity of arms, the value of human life, the dignity of human beings as being created in the image of God - have become a
scornful travesty.  And now we have reached the next stage: soldiers shoot at Israeli civilians in a demonstration, in keeping with the regulations for opening fire... This is an educational, ethical and moral failure.

"This is your failure, the failure of the army commanders.  If I had any faith in you, I would say to you -
clean out the stables, take responsibility, resign.  My faith in you is gone.  You have failed.  You and your predecessors have corrupted my army, our army.  I do not want to be a part of such an army.  You gave me the ranks, to you I return them."

Lt-Col Ronel's decision will resonate deeply in a country where military service is at the heart of society, and achieving senior military rank is considered a great mark of distinction.  It comes after a group of reservists pilots, including a highly decorated war hero, refused to fly any further missions to assassinate Palestinian militants over the occupied territories, because of the civilian casualties involved - which provoked a furore.

Though directed at the chief of staff, Gen Moshe
Ya'alon, Lt-Col Ronel's criticisms will also be seen as criticisms of Ariel Sharon, under whose premiership most of the abuses he refers to have taken place.  Gen Ya'alon himself recently spoke out against the government's military tactics in the occupied territories, saying they were counter-productive and fostered Palestinian hatred of Israel.
UP!  If you live an honourable life,  you can enjoy it a second time when you age and think back.

ARE SCOTS TAKING OVER THE WORLD?!  R U ANTI-SCOTIC?!
>>i could tell you about scotsmen, but (and does this seem strange to you?) nobody spends much time talking about them.

Maybe that's because the UK was taken over by a small group of people, disproportionately Scottish, in 1997.  When I see an elected House of Lords and the Home Counties get their own parliament, then I'll know they were democrats all along!
Daniel
>> anti-scotic! 

Not really - some of my best friends were Scottish :)
>>no longer?  too scary, huh?

It's just an observation that this particular group of people happened to be Scottish, and like many successful groups were a tight-knit bunch of outsiders.  Thatcherites in the Labour Party of the 80's weren't exactly mainstream, but they took over the party and the country nonetheless.  It bears out Margaret Mead's famous saying about small groups of committed people being the only thing that has ever changed the world.

I wouldn't care if they were Welsh or Cornish - it's what they say and do that matters to me.  The fact that they put media manipulation at the core of their strategy to achieve power, with people like Alistair Campbell in charge, says a lot about their contempt for the electorate.

So it's no surprise that they stitched up regional democracy by only allowing devolution in areas with a history of Labour support, replaced the peers in the House of Lords with their own yes-men and women, and invaded Iraq even though the support in the country was clearly not there.  
>> JOIN THE GREAT ANTI-SC OTIC DEBATE B4 THE SCOTS & JEWS (mandelson!) TAKE OVER THE WORLD, you mean?
UP!


Dear Ed,
So, 1 in 50 Scots are registered heroin users (Mark Deeley,
UP!).  Does the UK import in the order of 10 tons a year of heroin, or is it far more than this?  The street price is around £50 a gram.  That seems rather more than a smugglers-cove type operation.
The book 'Trance-Formation Of America, The True Story Of A CIA Mind Control Slave'  by Cathy O'Brien and Mark Phillips (which everyone should read) describes how the stuff is flown into North American CIA bases from South America.  Thence it’s distributed via the country music business, the latter having been 'penetrated' by the CIA. 
>> rings true

Her story is in accord with what Mike Ruppert (www.copvcia) found.  Could something similar be happening here, with US bases?  Let's face it, MI6 and CIA are now closely interlinked.
Nick K / london
UP!  Great love and great achievements involve great risk.


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REASONS TO BE THANKFUL PART 2003
On the surface, it’s been an absolutely lousy year for the sane people on this planet.  And for the weak and the poor.  But that’s the surface, where movements and trends and changes FINALLY appear.  So what’s been happening BELOW the surface whose positive results are bound to show up eventually?  Here are 10 Good Things About A Bad Year by Medea Benjamin.

1.      We organised the most massive, global protests against war the world has ever seen.  On February 15. 2003 alone, over 12 million people came out on the streets in over 700 cities in 60 countries and on every continent.  So impressive was this outpouring of anti-war sentiment that the New York Times, not known for hyperbole, claimed there were now two superpowers: the US and global public opinion.
“For many attending, this was the first time they found themselves on the street voicing their discontent with their state's foreign policy. People who normally wouldn't dream of attending a public gathering found themselves on the frontline for Peace. Some individuals commented on the extremely high level of awareness that was felt that day and the universal bond apparent during the February 15th demonstration- an unforgettable experience.  This has since gained momentum through the numerous gatherings that followed this year and has seen this movement flow into the mainstream.”  Brian Viz.
2.      Over the last few months, mainstream Americans have been buying progressive books by the millions.  Authors such as Michael Moore, Al Franken, Molly Ivins, Paul Krugman and David Corn have seen their books soar to the New York Times bestsellers list.  With humour and biting exposes of the Bush administration, these authors helped our movement gain legions of new converts.  No more preaching to the choir this year!
3.      When the World Trade Organization met in Cancun to promote global rules giving even greater power to corporations, they were met by well coordinated opposition from countries in the global south, hundreds of NGOs and thousands of activists.  When our movement's sophisticated inside-outside strategy forced the talks to collapse, there was "gloom in the suites and dancing in the streets."  And as a counter to these corporate-dominated global institutions, the fair trade movement had a stellar year.
4.      Bolivia, the poorest country in South America, proved that people power is alive and well.  Sparked by the Bolivian president's plan to privatise and export the nation's natural gas, an astounding grassroots movement of peasants, miners, workers, and indigenous people poured into the streets to demand his resignation.  After 5 weeks of intense protests and a government crackdown that left 70 dead, Sanchez de Lozada was forced to resign.  Now that's Regime Change!
5.      The silver lining in the budget crisis affecting all the American states is that state governments are cutting prison budgets by releasing non-violent drug offenders.  The year’s been marked by a steady move toward treatment vs. incarceration, and a greater understanding that drug abuse should be handled in the doctors' office vs. the prison cell.
6.      Remember how celebrities kept their mouths shut on social/political issues?  “I’m just a musician, man!”?  Well, this year saw a "coming out" of all types of celebrities on all manner of progressive issues. Jay-Z and Mariah Carey railed against the racist Rockefeller drug laws, Bono and Beyonce Knowles called for the world to fight AIDS, and a host of celebs such as Sean Penn, Susan Saradon and Laurence Fishbourne courageously took a stand against the invasion of Iraq.
7.      Progressives now have a powerful new tool for organising: the Internet.  E-activism through venues such as MoveOn, Working Assets and Meetup.com have allowed ordinary people to challenge big money and powerful institutions.  We raised millions of dollars to run ads, we've confronted corporate-dominated institutions, and e-activism has allowed an anti-war candidate, Howard Dean, to become a frontrunner in the 2004 elections.
8.      200 cities, towns, counties and states in the U.S. (source of nearly all the bad news this year) have passed resolutions against the Patriot Act.  In fact, the outcry has been so profound that plans for a successor act, dubbed Patriot Act II, that would further broaden federal investigatory powers, have been scuttled.
9.      The corporate scandals that topped the headlines in 2002 continued in 2003, with indefatigable New York State Attorney-General Eliot Spitzer exposing the trading abuses in the mutual funds industry.  The Enron, WorldCom and accounting scandals produced some positive legislation against corporate crime and forced institutional investors like pension funds to become more active.  And anti-corporate crusaders joined with peace activists to expose the obscene war profiteering of Halliburton and Bechtel, with more exposes due in 2004!
10.     Despite the conservative takeover of the courts, this year produced several honourable landmark rulings. The Supreme Court upheld affirmative action, giving a sweeping victory to the University of Michigan and colleges all over the country.  It struck down sodomy laws criminalising gay sex, affirming the constitutional right to privacy.  The Massachusetts Supreme Court ruled that gays should be able to marry.  The Appeals Court ruled that the US military could not detain American citizen Jose Padilla as an "enemy combatant", and in an even more significant decision, found that all 600 detainees at Guantanamo Bay should be granted access to lawyers.
http://www.truthout.org/docs_03/010204A.shtml
UP!  Open your arms (or legs) to change, but don't let go of your values


Pre-emptive Manhunting

THE CIA'S NEW ASSASSINATION PROGRAM

The major media outlets have ignored the CIA's on-going strategy of mass assassinations as one of the main weapons in Bush's burgeoning global war of terror. But Seymour Hersh, in The New Yorker, has now revealed the existence of what he wrongfully referred to as "a new Special Forces operation" intended to assassinate the people comprising "the broad middle of the Ba'athist underground."
        It’s a half-truth, at best. This is a
CIA assassination program, not a Special Forces program; and Hersh, though correct that the targets are “members of the outlawed Ba'ath Party”, tactfully skirts the fact that this assassination program is illegal because it targets civilians not soldiers!!
        Americans have denied these Iraqi civilians due process in their own country! Based on the word of a single anonymous informant, Ba'ath Party members who’ve never harmed a single American can be
- detained indefinitely
- tortured until they rat out some colleagues
- forced to become a double agent or pretend to
- assassinated along with their family, friends and neighbours.
        And not just Ba'ath Party members, but anyone who gets their name on the CIA's blacklist of political and ideological enemies.


Pre-emptive Manhunting: The New Phoenix Program
The CIA has concocted various euphemisms for its long-standing policy of assassinating civilians whose ideas and political beliefs it hates. "Targeted kill" is a good one. “Neutralize” and "Executive action" have been around too. I've been waiting for the new euphemism for the media to assuage the public with,  and disinformation specialist Seymour Hersh has now supplied it: "Pre-emptive Manhunting."
        
Pre-emptive Manhunting = Assassination, and, according to Hersh (quoting his usual anonymous sources), the rationale for resorting to this immoral and illegal measure is that "The only way we can win is to go unconventional. We're going to have to play their game. Guerrilla versus guerrilla. Terrorism versus terrorism. We've got to SCARE the Iraqis into submission."
        This is a textbook description of "
Selective Terrorism" as the ultimate form of psychological warfare, and Hersh is correct in describing Pre-emptive Manhunting as the rebirth of the CIA's Phoenix Program in the Vietnam War.

The CIA’s Phoenix program in Vietnam
A typical Phoenix Program operation occurred in February 1968, when former Senator Bob Kerrey (now added to the 9/11 Investigation team) led a 7-member Navy SEAL team into Thanh Phong village and murdered more than a dozen women and children - a war crime for which he received a Bronze Star.
That's right - Kerrey lied and reported he and his boys had killed “
21 Viet Cong guerrillas”.